Who do you want as President?

Saturday, January 21, 2012

The Story so Far...

 

     Three are out and only four are left in the race! Rick Perry quit and endorsed Newt while Huntsman dropped out and endorsed Romney. I think that Perry may be trying to get a position in the administration if Newt wins, the same goes for Huntsman is Romney wins. Huntsman and Perry both seemed to get along with the man they endorsed, while Newt and Mitt seem to almost detest each other. Michelle Bachmann also dropped out after losing in her home state in last...if you don't count Huntsman who wasn't even in the state.
     
     As everyone knows the Iowa caucus has taken place and Mitt Romney lost to Rick Santorum but only by 34 votes. The Iowa caucus isn't a real primary, it's more of a popularity contest and its record for picking winners is 50/50. It was originally thought Romney won, but that was a mistake and I think that since he lost but such a low number it's pretty much a tie. Ron Paul came in second with Newt Gingrich coming in "third". The rest don't matter since they aren't in the race!
     Man what a shocker that Santorum won Iowa, well kinda, like I said it's a popularity contest. But the New Hampshire Primary isn't just a popularity contest...it's a PRIMARY! Romney won with a large part of the votes, about 40% of the votes with Paul once again in second place. Third was Huntsman, but he doesn't matter anymore. Then comes ole' Newt with just under 10% of the votes in fourth place! Santorum came in at about 10% as well so effectively they tied for fourth position.

     Now onto the interesting part of the story... the South Carolina primary. Newt came in with 40% of the votes! What?! Something that has never happened before happened when he won, somebody different won the Iowa caucus, New Hampshire primary, and the South Carolina primary! This means that as of now...the race is open to Santorum, Newt, and Romney; Paul can't and won't win. Then Romney came in with 27% a whopping 13 points behind Newt! Santorum and Paul came in rounding out the last positions with 17% and 13%, respectively.

     Something to keep in mind is that South Carolina is a very conservative state while New Hampshire is a moderate-left of center type of state. What does that mean? Romney is a moderate Republican; some would say to moderate for the Republican Party. Newt is very conservative and has an excellent track record in the debates; I would say that he was won all of them. But Santorum is also very conservative, so why didn't he win? It may be because he doesn't excite people like Newt can, he can be very much a lightening rod. Paul will always have his supporters, if nothing else they are loyal to their candidate.



     The question will come down to Florida in the end I believe. Who will win and come in second. Florida isn't as conservative or religious as South Carolina; the population is also about four times larger. Florida has about 19 million people while South Carolina sits right under 5 million people. I think that Santorum will come in third and Paul last, though I could be very surprised, since a large portion of Florida's voters are senior citizens; who always vote. Senior citizens are generally conservative when it comes to social issues and finical laws and regulations.  I think that Romney will come in first or a close second, if Newt doesn't push things to hard. But since this race has been so crazy so far...Ron Paul might win! If Santorum doesn't place well then I see him drogping out of the race.

If nothing else they can enjoy the sun as this lady is!



This post has been updated above.
 
I'll be writing up a new post about how the Republican primaries have gone and the debates as well! And the major changes that could come to the race!


26 comments:

  1. how do you think all of the divisiveness in the GOP primaries will affect their chances in the general election?

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    1. I think that Paul is just sucking votes away from Romney or Newt honestly. Paul has good ideas, don't get me wrong, but he has some VERY radical ideas as well. And Santorum will quit if he doesn't come in at least 2nd in Florida. Romney and Newt will keep battling it out...better to get it out now than later Obama wanted Romeny to win it ;).

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  2. Paul will not win because he is not a man of God. Only a true man of God will be the next US president- as it SHOULD be!

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    1. I feel that Christianity is under attack in the US myself. Freedom of religion means let me keep mine...even if you don't like it! Good comment!

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    2. Right on, brother! It's good to hear from a fellow Christian who understands that this country was built on a solid foundation of CHRISTIAN morality which is being subtly eroded by the scourge that is atheism/liberalism!

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    3. No matter how you roll the dice, America was built on Judeo-Christian beliefs and should continue to be.

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  3. i actually though santorum finished out the most recent debate very strongly. Would not surprise me at all if he snagged 2nd in Florida. Paul is just too radical to ever gain enough mainstream support.

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    1. I agree with you on that Santorum has been improving every debate, and your right on the money with Paul

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  4. Let us all hope and pray for Rick Santorum to win the election! He is the only one with strong enough morals to defeat he liberal communists and their atheist satan-loving supporters!

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    1. I do like Santorum but I don't know if he will be able to hold on if he doesn't do well in Florida.

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  5. obama isnt the best but i cant get beind any of these candidates at all. following.

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    1. The race this year is flat compared to past races sadly.

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  6. I like the lady the most lol, +1!

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  7. i must agree with Fitizien, hurray for that lady.

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    1. I concur with both of you! great blog!

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  8. It's going to be really interesting, what happens next. Following. :)

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  9. Thanks for all the follows y'all!!! And Janno is right, it WILL BE interesting to see what happens!

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  10. Hey I am English ... WTF Happened to Ron Paul ? I thought he had a whole load of backing ?

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    1. He has a very dedicated amount of followers but most people write him off because he takes some stances that are seen as VERY extreme; legalize all drugs, legalize prostitution, legalize gay marriage and other things (I should mention that he is PERSONALLY against gay marriage but leaves it to the states to decide).

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  11. nice blog!
    following for sure :)

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